2013 Champaign – Week 6 Softball Playoff Preview (Oct. 23)

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Updated: October 24, 2013

The final week of the Regular Season is upon us!    The Wrap-Up is going to work differently this week as instead of utilizing the Power Rankings format we are going to go through the Standings and give a bit of a Playoff Scenario list.  Before we get to the Playoff Scenarios here is a link to the Weekly Video Highlights.

So here is a look at the current Standings (after Week 6 Softball).

Top 10 Teams Qualify for the Playoffs
Team
PointsPoints Behind Leader
Team Harris (No. 7 Salon & Spa) 1300
Team Rafferty - Sig Ep (Cookie Jar)1291
Team Fisher - AEPi (popchips)9040
Team Gross - ATO SR (Hollywood Liquors)8743
Team Lehrman - ZBT (Stanley Steemer)7555
Team Samawi - ATO (GameFly.com)4684
Team Grazioso - ATO SO (Sparkt)4090
Team Witt - ZBT SR (Houlihan's)3892
Team Lemke - SAE (IHotel)3595
Team Young - AKL (Starr Limo)22108
Team Deutsch - Sammys (Farm Lake Barn) 15115
Team Sandoval - Psi Upsilon (Meijer)0130

Remember Flag Football is worth 20 Points.

1. Team Harris (No. 7 Salon & Spa) – Currently in 1st in the Standings w/ 110 points.

Team Harris has been out in front all season long and nothing has changed after their tough 6-5 W over Team Witt in Softball on Wednesday Night.  Team Harris will clinch the #1 Seed if they defeat Team Lemke – SAE or if Team Rafferty falls to Team Young – AKL in Flag Football next week.  Of course, with the #1 Seed also comes the FREE Barn Dance party at Farm Lake Barn! So not only is Regular Season title on the line, but a Barn Dance!!!  Will these guys finally succumb to some pressure?

2. Team Rafferty – Sig Ep (Cookie Jar) – Currently in 2nd in the Standings w/ 109 points.

Simple Math.  They stayed on pace w/ Team Harris after getting the 5-3 win over Team Gross in what was one of the two best games on Wednesday Night. They are a point back from current #1 Team Harris.. If Team Harris wins they will be the #2 Seed no matter what. If Team Rafferty wins and Team Harris loses – they will stay at #2.  If Team Rafferty loses next week (remember they won by 70+ in the last Flag Football game) they will start the Playoffs as the #2 seed.

3. Team Fisher – AEPi (popchips) – Currently in 3rd in the Standings w/ 70 points.

4. Team Gross – ATO SR (Hollywood Liquors) – Currently in 4th in the Standings w/ 67 points.

Both teams are going to be lumped together for the purposes of this Preview.. They have had very similar journeys to this point and with only one final week remaining very little actually separates them.  Both squads had hopes of finishing in the Top Spot come Playoff time but now will have to settle for a #3 Seed (best case scenario).  Here’s how it works.. Team Fisher plays familiar foe Team Witt – ZBT and Team Gross will tussle with their little bros – Team Grazioso – ATO SO..  If Team Fisher wins they get the #3 spot come playoff time.  If both Teams win, Team Gross will come in at #4.  If Team Gross wins and Team Fisher falls next Wednesday than Team Gross will take the #3 Spot.  Both of these teams also have to keep an eye on Team Lehrman.. A Team Lehrman win over Team Detusch and a loss from either of these squads and Team Lehrman will jump them..

5. Team Lehrman – ZBT (Stanley Steemer) – Currently in 5th in the Standings w/ 55 points.

Team Lehrman has the biggest range of Seeding for the Opening Rounds of Playoffs.. If they win they could possibly end up as high as the #3 Seed (w/ Losses from Team Fisher and Team Gross).. With a Loss they can wind up as low as a tie for 7th and, thus, having to play an extra Opening Round Softball game.. That would happen if both Team Grazioso and fellow Zeebs Team Witt get Wins.  Remember Seeds 1-6 will be waiting in the Elite 8 while Teams seeded 7 through 10 will have to play in an extra Opening Round Softball game.  In a single elimination tournament that is not a place you want to be in!  Team Lehrman has really turned it on in the last few weeks and they have a Rival in Team Deutsch staring them in the eye for the Season’s final week.  They are one to keep an eye as seeding falls into place on Wednesday Night.

6. Team Grazioso – ATO SO (Sparkt) – Currently in 6th in the Standings w/ 40 points.

If Team Grazioso wins they ensure themselves a Top 6 Seed.. Again, the Top 6 get an Opening Round bye of sorts.  With a win and a little help in the terms of a Team Lehrman loss, they can climb up to #5.. However, with a loss they could potentially fall all the way down to the 10th and final seed.. Teams currently in the 7-10 range are all within 20 points and all play different teams, so while it might take a few upsets, it would be still possible.. Team Grazioso is in for a real tough task with their older bros. Team Gross in the final Week.. They have looked good in the past few weeks though and are certainly going to be a tough out come Playoff time.

7. Team Witt – ZBT SR (Houlihan’s) – Currently in 7th in the Standings w/ 38 points.

Team Witt is the final team to have clinched a Playoff berth out right.  Win or lose Team Witt will be in the 10-Team Field.  However, they still have some really important work ahead of them come the final week.. For one, a win from them and a loss from Team Grazioso or Team Lehrman and they can hop up into a top 6 spot.  A loss, and they open themselves up from to being jumped by Teams Lemke, Samawi and Young.  Not to mention, they play Rivals Team Fisher – AEPi and definitely don’t want a loss like that hanging over their heads entering the Playoffs.  Playoff Time = Switness Season.

8. Team Lemke – SAE (IHotel) – Currently in 8th in the Standings w/ 35 points.

Big W on Wednesday Night puts them in a great place to get a Playoff victory. Another W, and not only are they in the Playoffs for sure but they could possibly climb out of the Opening Round and into a Top 6 Seed. They could actually land in a tie for 5th if things go their way..  Now a loss, would open them up to a potential tie for the 10 Spot if Team Deutsch – Sammys were to win as well as Team Samawi and Team Young. Below is a description of the tiebreaker system.  I want to be very clear about Team Lemke before we move on.. This Team CAN WIN IT ALL! It’s not often you will pick a team that isn’t even assured a playoff spot as a potential front runner but they have all the tools necessary to make a run in November, just so long as they get there.

Brief Tiebreaker rundown: 

a. head to head. (If 3 teams are tied then we will still use head to head.  Teams will be seeded in the following order depending on their head to head record: 2-0, 1-0, 0-0, 0-1, 0-2)

b. If teams did not play head to head then we will use the teams individual records… If a team advanced past the pool stages of volleyball then that counts as a W (if not its a Loss). So teams have 7 games in their record.

c. If still tied, we will go to Strength of Schedule.  We will add together the total points (from Standings) of the opponents for each team for the entire season. Whoever had a stronger strength of schedule will win the tiebreaker. (VBall tourney games are not scored in this).

9. Team Samawi – ATO (Gamefly.com) – Currently in 9th in the Standings w/ 26 points.

10. Team Young – AKL (Starr Limo) – Currently in 10th in the Standings w/ 22 points.

Team Samawi and Team Young are in the same boat — Win and you are in.  Lose and Team Deutsch – Sammys could jump ahead of you.  Now for Team Samawi, Team Young would also have to win for them to lose out, but the name of the game is simple come next Wednesday Night — win and you are in.  It’s also possible that they could hop out of the Opening Rounds all together and into the a #6 Seed if Teams Grazioso, Witt, and Lemke all lost — which is possible since they are all playing higher ranked teams at the moment.  There is still a ton of intrigue down here for those last Playoff spots. Either team could make a real run at the Crown as well — first you need to lock up the spot.

11. Team Deutsch – Sammys (Farm Lake Barn) – Currently in 11th in the Standings w/ 15 points.

They need to win AND need help in the way of a Team Lemke (still would need tiebreaker), Team Samawi or Team Young loss.  Not exactly where they want to be but there’s still a chance.

12. Team Sandoval – Psi Upsilon (Meijer) – Currently in 12 in the Standings w/ 0 points.

With the way the final week shuck down — Team Sandoval has been mathematically eliminated from the Playoff Race.. However, they still are looking for a W and to impact the Playoff Race in Week 7.  These guys won’t quit as they have fought hard all Season long.

That’ s it for this week. Stay warm. Have a great weekend. See ya Wednesday to wrap up the Regular Season.

Holden